Rapid Prototyping

State of the Industry

1997 Worldwide Progress Report

Terry Wohlers


Table of Contents


Introduction

Changing industry
Tracking new developments

Industries being served

How RP models are being used
Installations by country

Development of RP systems

Why rapid prototyping?

Engineering changes
Producing powerful proposals
Getting early input from suppliers and tool makers
Verifying CAD databases
Styling and ergonomic studies
Requesting quotes
Packaging and shipping
Critical-to-function drawings

Market growth

Secondary market
Product sales
Revenue from services
Service bureau market
Other service revenues

System unit sales

New unit sales leader
Systems sold by region in 1996
Cumulative systems sold by region
Installations by US manufacturers in 1996
Systems sold by the Japanese
1996 unit sales by manufacturer
Cumulative unit sales by manufacturer
Unit sales by vendor and year

Growth trends and sales forecasts

Unit sales growth percentages
Worldwide revenue estimates
Annual revenue growth percentages
RP growth compared to CNC, machining
Billion dollar industry

Service bureaus

Concentration of SBs
Working with SBs
SBs are changing
Second wave of SBs
Mix of RP machines
SB survey results

Rapid tooling

Silicone rubber tooling
Direct AIM tooling
Epoxy/composite tooling
Spray metal tooling
Cast kirksite tooling
SLS RapidTool
3D Keltool
Rapid tooling selection guidelines

New developments in rapid tooling

Laser Fare
3D Keltool
CEMCOM
Rapid Dynamics
3DP at MIT
LENS technology at Sandia
Topographic Shell Fabrication

Size of tooling market

Material advances

Software for RP

Bridgeworks and SolidView
Brockware
MAGICS, CT-Modeller
Rapid Prototyping Module (RPM)
Rapid Tools
StlView
Velocity
Z-Shifter

Concept modelers

Genisys
Actua 2100
Personal Modeler 2100
ModelMaker II
Z402
Cost of 3D printing
Reducing the need for prototypes
Bottom line

System manufacturers

3D Systems
Aaroflex
BPM Technology
Cubital
DTM
Helisys
Sanders Prototype
Stratasys
Z Corporation

RP stock values

RP systems in the US

RP systems outside the US

Europe

Disadvantage
EOS

Japan

Growth in Japan
Installed base
Obstacles to growth
Clinging to home-grown software
Tooling in Japan
High-speed machining

Academic programs

Focus
Challenges, opportunities

CAD industry trends

CAD software
Rhino design software
CAD unit installations
Hardware and OSs
UNIX sites willing to consider Pcs

The Internet

Medical modeling

Skull model of 14-year-old
Example models
Endoscopy project

Reverse engineering

How the technology works
Laser digitizing systems
What works, what doesn’t
Other suggestions
3D digitizing systems

Where’s it all headed?

Risks, land mines
Place your bet
8-track tape, audio cassette, and CD

The future

The challenge of prediction
RP system of the future
Virtual prototyping
Division
Muse
Future applications

Summary and conclusions

Acknowledgments

About the author

Where to learn more

Internet mail list
RPA/SME

Copyright and trademarks

Appendix A: RP system manufacturer addresses

United States
Israel and Europe
Japan

Appendix B: RP software company addresses