The Discovery of 3D Printing by the Mainstream Press
Good
news to those in the additive manufacturing (AM) and 3D printing
industry: The mainstream media has discovered the technology.
By Terry Wohlers, President, Wohlers Associates
Good
news to those in the additive manufacturing (AM) and 3D printing
industry: The mainstream media has discovered the technology. Just this
year, CNNMoney, The Colbert Report, Fortune, and Wired have published
stories or aired segments on the subject. Previously, BBC News,
BusinessWeek, CNBC, the Discovery Channel, The Los Angeles Times, The
New York Times, Popular Mechanics, Scientific American, Sky News, The
Wall Street Journal, The Washington Post, and others have covered the
technology—some multiple times.
One of the most significant was
the February 12-18, 2011, issue of The Economist, which includes
two articles on the subject, “Print Me a Stradivarius,” about creating a functional replica of the legendary violin with laser sintering from EOS, and a three-page story, “The Printed World,” which provides an in-depth look at the technology and how it is expected to change the world.
Some
might argue that the 3D printing coverage by the some of the media
giants has presented the technology as being more advanced than it is
today. While this may be true at times, I feel that the national and
international press has done a fine job with the subject. More than
anything else, the coverage has introduced the technology to thousands
of corporate executives, politicians, researchers, educators,
investors, and others who might influence future support.
“The
Printed World” discusses how the printing of parts and products might
transform manufacturing due to lower cost and risk. It says that no
longer is it necessary to produce thousands or hundreds of thousands of
a product to recoup fixed costs. This is an important reason why I
believe additive manufacturing will change the way we manufacture many
types of products in the future. No longer does product development and
manufacturing require a large upfront investment in machines and
facilities and an army of people. Today, a person with some creativity,
talent, and business savvy can offer products from the comfort of
home—an important message to get out to readers, many of which consider
themselves entrepreneurs.
Many years ago, professor Phillip
Dickens of Loughborough University stated that additive manufacturing
technology could propel the world into the next industrial revolution
(an argument made in The Economist). At the time, few people knew more
about the technology and where it was headed. Some may have questioned
his bold statement, but developments since then suggest that it could
very well happen. As this concept is discussed in the broader press,
people have become excited, even ecstatic, about the future
possibilities.
Forbes recently ran a thought-provoking article by Mark Mills of Digital Power Capital titled “Manufacturing, 3D Printing and What China Knows About the Emerging American Century.” He
explains the possible advantage the U.S. holds from its creativity,
innovation, and adoption of 3D printing technology. “The poster child
of the factory-of-the-future is visible in a hot new trend in the
techno-dweeb sphere, so-called 3D printing,” Mills writes. He goes on
to say that the trend surely worries China.
He may be right,
although I’m not so sure Chinese organizations currently recognize AM
and 3D printing as a threat to its manufacturing capabilities.
Mills
expects manufacturing in the U.S. to follow the evolution of
agriculture—a development that I have long thought would unfold. He
explains that more than 40% of the U.S. workforce worked on farms about
a century ago. Today, slightly more than 2% refer to themselves as
farmers, yet U.S. agriculture has never been more productive. Mills
claims that technology has contributed to a 600% growth in agricultural
output.
Manufacturing has begun to follow this trend in
productivity. Total manufacturing output in the U.S. has doubled in the
past 30 years, according to Mills, while the workforce has declined
from 17-million in the mid 1970s to 12-million today. This means that
each manufacturing employee is now six times more productive. What’s
more, the U.S. and China are roughly equal in manufacturing output,
depending on which numbers you believe. Meanwhile, China employs nearly
100-million people in manufacturing—8.3 times more than the
U.S.—according to Mills.
AM and 3D printing, I believe, will
contribute greatly to increased manufacturing productivity in the
future, especially for custom products and short-run production.
Already, the technology is working its way into neighborhoods as the
late Larry Rhoades, founder of Extrude Hone and Ex One, predicted many
years ago. Rhoades referred to it as “neighborhood manufacturing” in a
2005 article, “The Transformation of Manufacturing in the 21st
Century,” published in The Bridge, a publication of the National
Academy of Engineering. Others have echoed Rhoades’ belief.
Mills, for example, writes, “Personal 3D printers, personal
manufacturing, some argue, offers the potential to move a lot of
manufacturing into neighborhoods.”
Has the AM industry “turned
the corner” in creating broad awareness around the world? The recent
publicity has been good for the industry. However, even more needs to
be done to make people aware of the wide range of products and business
opportunities that are developing as a result of AM.